Baseball

Have a good pick for the offshore books. Share it here.
ProlinePlayer
Site Admin
Posts: 2076
Joined: Sun Mar 31, 2013 6:33 am

Re: Baseball

Post by ProlinePlayer » Sat Jun 08, 2013 12:16 pm

ProlinePlayer wrote:
ChinMusic wrote:
dearnasty wrote:Started tailin last night Chin (albeit for much less) ... BOL to us going forward! Just one quick question when you say your average edge over the closing line is about 3% is that including the juice?
Then for your sake I hope I start to get things going the right way again soon.

I was not including the juice when I said that. For example if I get odds of 2.06, then by closing time the odds would be 2.00 on average.

I'm going to hop on board starting today as well, so the pressure is on :lol:

Gotta a feeling you're about to explode.

PLP
Chin,

Post us some plays. I'm having withdrawals. :oops: No proline worth playing. No NHL offshore hockey games I like.

PLP

ChinMusic
Posts: 216
Joined: Mon Apr 29, 2013 12:12 pm

Re: Baseball

Post by ChinMusic » Sat Jun 08, 2013 12:31 pm

Losing sucks, but mostly life is just really busy right now.

Don't worry, I will be starting up again before too long. :D

ChinMusic
Posts: 216
Joined: Mon Apr 29, 2013 12:12 pm

Re: Baseball

Post by ChinMusic » Sat Jun 08, 2013 12:33 pm

June 6: Won 0, Lost 1 (and 1 rained out)

Bet 301.21
Cash 0
Net -301.21

Totals: Won 38, Lost 46

Bet 38875.73
Cash 38112.91
Net -762.82

PropGod
Posts: 18
Joined: Thu May 02, 2013 12:08 am

Re: Baseball

Post by PropGod » Sat Jun 08, 2013 2:48 pm

Kendrick @ 2.05
and
Burnett at 1.95

Plays of the day Imo
Along with Mets-Marlins Under 6.5 which i played this morning.

ChinMusic
Posts: 216
Joined: Mon Apr 29, 2013 12:12 pm

Re: Baseball

Post by ChinMusic » Tue Jun 11, 2013 8:22 pm

Something new today. I have opened an account at The Greek. Normally I find with my wagers that earlier lines pay out better than later lines. And since greek lines come out before pinnacle, I decided to try them out. My method today was to wager to win 300 when greek lines first come up. Then wager to win another 200 after pinnacle lines come out, at whichever book is paying more. Today it turns out I would have been very slightly better off just waiting until pinnacle lines came out. I am still trying to work out what will be the best strategy for making the wagers, so feel free to offer suggestions if you want.

Jun 11 4:08pm Baseball - Pending 345.00 to win 300.00
1. Baseball - Milwaukee Brewers - moneyline (-115)
for the entire game held on Jun 12 at 6:10pm [pending]
A Figaro -R must start and K Slowey -R must start for action

Jun 11 4:10pm Baseball - Pending 204.08 to win 300.00
1. Baseball - Toronto Blue Jays - moneyline (+147)
for the entire game held on Jun 12 at 7:10pm [pending]
E Rogers -R must start and C Sale -L must start for action

Milwaukee Brewers 12-June-2013 4:10 PM PST
Money Line for Game -113
A. Figaro must start / K. Slowey must start
Risking 226.00 to Win 200.00 CAD

Jun 11 7:13pm Baseball - Pending 136.05 to win 199.99
1. Baseball - Toronto Blue Jays - moneyline (+147)
for the entire game held on Jun 12 at 7:10pm [pending]
E Rogers -R must start and C Sale -L must start for action

Arch
Posts: 213
Joined: Wed May 01, 2013 10:23 pm

Re: Baseball

Post by Arch » Wed Jun 12, 2013 12:01 am

GL on your bets Chin. Have you considered opening a SIA account and just betting any games they move slow on? I follow someone on twitter who does this on a small to medium scale and he says Both SIA and Bodog have paid. I wouldn't do it with alot of $ because they will close your account over it LOL.

Anyway GL with your new strategy offshore using TheGreek alongside Pinny.

ChinMusic
Posts: 216
Joined: Mon Apr 29, 2013 12:12 pm

Re: Baseball

Post by ChinMusic » Wed Jun 12, 2013 11:54 pm

June 12: Won 1, Lost 0 (and 1 rained out)

Bet 571.00
Cash 1071.00
Net 500.00

Totals: Won 39, Lost 46

Bet 39154.33
Cash 38891.51
Net -262.82

ProlinePlayer
Site Admin
Posts: 2076
Joined: Sun Mar 31, 2013 6:33 am

Re: Baseball

Post by ProlinePlayer » Thu Jun 13, 2013 12:46 am

ChinMusic wrote:Something new today. I have opened an account at The Greek. Normally I find with my wagers that earlier lines pay out better than later lines. And since greek lines come out before pinnacle, I decided to try them out. My method today was to wager to win 300 when greek lines first come up. Then wager to win another 200 after pinnacle lines come out, at whichever book is paying more. Today it turns out I would have been very slightly better off just waiting until pinnacle lines came out. I am still trying to work out what will be the best strategy for making the wagers, so feel free to offer suggestions if you want.
Having several options for lines can of course not be wrong.

I have active accounts at (and had no problems with) the following :
Pinnacle
Olympic
Cris
5 Dimes
Carib (hardly used)
Matchbook
Betfair (almost never used)

All of the above are respected/solid operations and, with the possible exception of Carib, will not immediately close your account if you win a few bets.

I find that in practice most (probably over 80%) of my bets still go through Pinnacle. But that occasional saving of a few pennies on some of the plays does make a difference over time.

PLP

ProlinePlayer
Site Admin
Posts: 2076
Joined: Sun Mar 31, 2013 6:33 am

Re: Baseball

Post by ProlinePlayer » Thu Jun 13, 2013 10:27 am

ChinMusic wrote: My method today was to wager to win 300 when greek lines first come up. Then wager to win another 200 after pinnacle lines come out, at whichever book is paying more. Today it turns out I would have been very slightly better off just waiting until pinnacle lines came out.

The one problem I forsee with this strategy is that I think in most cases you'll get a better price by waiting than for no other reason that the vig at Pinnacle is lower.

PLP

ChinMusic
Posts: 216
Joined: Mon Apr 29, 2013 12:12 pm

Re: Baseball

Post by ChinMusic » Fri Jun 14, 2013 2:52 pm

ProlinePlayer wrote:
ChinMusic wrote: My method today was to wager to win 300 when greek lines first come up. Then wager to win another 200 after pinnacle lines come out, at whichever book is paying more. Today it turns out I would have been very slightly better off just waiting until pinnacle lines came out.

The one problem I forsee with this strategy is that I think in most cases you'll get a better price by waiting than for no other reason that the vig at Pinnacle is lower.

PLP
The vig is at Pinny is lower, but not by as much as you might think. Check it out sometime.

And in the past, it seems like I almost never get a number at Pinny as good as the opener at the Greek. I will be testing that theory as I go, and obviously if it doesn't hold true then I will need to change my strategy.

There are also some practical considerations for me, like Pinny lines coming up after 6:00 p.m. routinely, when I'm eating dinner, or heading out to take the kids somewhere. My lifestyle is much more suited to the mid-afternoon early lines that greek puts up.

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