Currently seeing Buffalo in regulation at :
Buffalo 9.26 10.8%
Tie 4.59 21.8%
Montreal 1.48 67.4%
But Buff -1.5 on Pinny is 10.25/1.07, or 9.5%. Even if you use a logarithmic vig filter, you still get something that makes the odds of Buffalo by 1 in regulation something like 1-2%, which seems awfully low if they're 11% to ship in reg.
Are the regulation odds pulled from somewhere or is this a calculation based on historical numbers which I should disregard because it's such an outlier? Big hugs bruhs.
Buf/Mtl odds
Re: Buf/Mtl odds
Somewhere you are making a mistake as Buffalo Could not of payed 9.00 to win in regulation
Re: Buf/Mtl odds
If you look at the ALC odds (which are regulation only), the "correct odds" on Buffalo is 9.19. This doesn't make sense to me either. As a point of reference, Betfair had Buffalo at 6.4 back/ 7.6 lay for its 60 minute lines.
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Re: Buf/Mtl odds
This was a good one. I can still vividly remember this match!
Looking for a good strategy.