Push Lines - Include in probabilities?

The math of winning at proline. Edge play, bankroll management and related issues.
Kaboshed
Posts: 94
Joined: Fri Aug 02, 2013 1:26 pm

Re: Saturday October 5 Pointspread Games List

Post by Kaboshed » Sat Nov 16, 2013 9:49 am

sharpasitgets wrote:That’s not exactly true, this glorious ticket 53V-54V-56V-62V-63V (33% edge), is approximately a 17% loser when one accounts for all the push permutations; which there are 31 of...
do you still stand by this?

sharpasitgets
Posts: 81
Joined: Tue May 28, 2013 2:36 pm

Re: Push Lines - Include in probabilities?

Post by sharpasitgets » Sat Nov 16, 2013 10:23 am

Yes, if the parlay is comprised entirely of games that can result in a push

ProlinePlayer
Site Admin
Posts: 2076
Joined: Sun Mar 31, 2013 6:33 am

Re: Saturday October 5 Pointspread Games List

Post by ProlinePlayer » Sat Nov 16, 2013 1:15 pm

Kaboshed wrote:
sharpasitgets wrote:That’s not exactly true, this glorious ticket 53V-54V-56V-62V-63V (33% edge), is approximately a 17% loser when one accounts for all the push permutations; which there are 31 of...
do you still stand by this?
Yes, if the parlay is comprised entirely of games that can result in a push
Just to clarify

The above is now not really relevant as the ParlayMaker program when calculating edges does consider all permutations of winners which include pushes.

I assume that sharpasitgets' statement of -17% is accurate. Then if so the program should also now return that value.

PLP

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