Push Lines - Include in probabilities?

The math of winning at proline. Edge play, bankroll management and related issues.
ProlinePlayer
Site Admin
Posts: 2076
Joined: Sun Mar 31, 2013 6:33 am

Push Lines - Include in probabilities?

Post by ProlinePlayer » Sat Oct 05, 2013 6:22 am

Saturday, October 05 2013 53 Nhl 7:00 PM Detroit Boston -1.0 54 Nhl 7:00 PM Ottawa Toronto -1.0 55 Nhl 7:00 PM Philadephi Montreal -0.5 56 Nhl 7:00 PM Columbus NyIslander -1.0 57 Nhl 7:00 PM Buffalo Pittsburgh -1.5 58 Nhl 8:00 PM TampaBay Chicago -1.5 59 Nhl 8:00 PM Florida StLouis -1.5 60 Nhl 8:00 PM Washington Dallas +0.5 61 Nhl 8:00 PM Anaheim Minnesota -0.5 62 Nhl 10:00 PM Edmonton Vancouver -1.0 63 Nhl 10:30 PM Phoenix SanJose -1.0

BTS
Posts: 88
Joined: Wed May 01, 2013 10:47 am

Re: Saturday October 5 Pointspread Games List

Post by BTS » Sat Oct 05, 2013 11:03 am

53V - 54V - 56V - 62V - 63V
Holy reduced payout Batman. ;)


Don't want any part of 5 teamers with several +1s personally.

ChinMusic
Posts: 216
Joined: Mon Apr 29, 2013 12:12 pm

Re: Saturday October 5 Pointspread Games List

Post by ChinMusic » Sat Oct 05, 2013 1:09 pm

Do those edges include the probabilities for a push result on one or more games? If not then the edges are much lower than that.

dearnasty
Posts: 185
Joined: Sun May 05, 2013 11:56 am

Re: Saturday October 5 Pointspread Games List

Post by dearnasty » Sat Oct 05, 2013 1:49 pm

even without the adjustment for the push wouldnt you guys think all of those tickets are still edges?

leoj
Posts: 923
Joined: Mon Apr 29, 2013 2:53 pm

Re: Saturday October 5 Pointspread Games List

Post by leoj » Sat Oct 05, 2013 2:03 pm

dearnasty wrote:even without the adjustment for the push wouldnt you guys think all of those tickets are still edges?
would take 3 pushes on a 5 teamer to wipe out the edge entirely, ill take my chances.

dearnasty
Posts: 185
Joined: Sun May 05, 2013 11:56 am

Re: Saturday October 5 Pointspread Games List

Post by dearnasty » Sat Oct 05, 2013 2:18 pm

Thanks Leo.

here is another question interested on everyones input.

lets say you had a daily budget of whatever it was plp today on hoecky ps. would you play your money the same way?
lets say you only had a budget of $300 how would you approach a day like today?
lets say you only had 100?

the amount of possible edge plays today is just very overwhelming to me not sure how to approach it
\

dearnasty
Posts: 185
Joined: Sun May 05, 2013 11:56 am

Re: Saturday October 5 Pointspread Games List

Post by dearnasty » Sat Oct 05, 2013 2:19 pm

well actually i did buy a printer this morning....i knew that was going to have to be step 1 to the approach

leoj
Posts: 923
Joined: Mon Apr 29, 2013 2:53 pm

Re: Saturday October 5 Pointspread Games List

Post by leoj » Sat Oct 05, 2013 2:21 pm

dearnasty wrote:Thanks Leo.

here is another question interested on everyones input.

lets say you had a daily budget of whatever it was plp today on hoecky ps. would you play your money the same way?
lets say you only had a budget of $300 how would you approach a day like today?
lets say you only had 100?

the amount of possible edge plays today is just very overwhelming to me not sure how to approach it
\
split it up among the best edges, maybe the top 10-20 tickets or so for a bankroll that small.

do some kind of weighted allocation where the best edges get more $$

Dilbert
Posts: 340
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 1:20 pm

Re: Saturday October 5 Pointspread Games List

Post by Dilbert » Sat Oct 05, 2013 2:26 pm

.#.TIME.BET..COMBINATION EV.24HR.990..SELECTIONS .5.1900..40..54V.56V.58V.59V.62V .5.1900..40..56V.58V.59V.61H.62V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.58V.59V.61H .5.1900..40..56V.57V.58V.59V.62V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.57V.58V.59V .5.1900..40..55H.56V.58V.59V.62V .5.1900..40..54V.55H.56V.58V.59V .5.1900..40..54V.58V.59V.61H.62V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.59V.61H.62V .5.1900..40..56V.57V.58V.59V.61H .5.1900..40..56V.58V.59V.62V.63V .5.1900..40..54V.57V.58V.59V.62V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.58V.59V.63V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.57V.59V.62V .5.1900..40..55H.56V.58V.59V.61H .5.1900..40..54V.55H.58V.59V.62V .5.1900..40..54V.55H.56V.59V.62V .5.1900..40..55H.56V.57V.58V.59V .5.1900..40..56V.58V.59V.61H.63V .5.1900..40..56V.57V.59V.61H.62V .5.1900..40..57V.58V.59V.61H.62V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.57V.59V.61H .5.1900..40..54V.57V.58V.59V.61H .5.1900..40..53V.56V.58V.59V.62V .5.1900..40..56V.57V.58V.59V.63V .5.1900..40..54V.58V.59V.62V.63V .5.1900..40..53V.54V.56V.58V.59V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.58V.61H.62V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.59V.62V.63V .5.1900..40..55H.56V.59V.61H.62V .5.1900..40..55H.58V.59V.61H.62V .5.1900..40..54V.55H.56V.59V.61H .5.1900..40..54V.56V.57V.58V.62V .5.1900..40..54V.55H.58V.59V.61H .5.1900..40..55H.56V.58V.59V.63V .5.1900..40..55H.56V.57V.59V.62V .5.1900..40..55H.57V.58V.59V.62V .5.1900..40..54V.55H.56V.57V.59V .5.1900..40..56V.59V.61H.62V.63V .5.1900..40..53V.56V.58V.59V.61H .5.1900..40..54V.55H.57V.58V.59V .5.1900..40..54V.58V.59V.61H.63V .5.1900..40..54V.57V.59V.61H.62V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.59V.61H.63V .5.2000..40..58V.59V.61H.62V.63V .5.1900..40..56V.58V.59V.60V.62V .5.1900..40..54V.55H.56V.58V.62V .5.1900..40..57V.58V.59V.62V.63V .5.1900..40..56V.57V.59V.62V.63V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.58V.59V.60V .5.1900..40..53V.56V.57V.58V.59V .5.1900..40..56V.57V.58V.61H.62V .5.1900..40..53V.54V.58V.59V.62V .5.1900..40..54V.57V.58V.59V.63V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.57V.59V.63V .5.1900..40..54V.56V.57V.58V.61H .5.1900..40..53V.54V.56V.59V.62V

ChinMusic
Posts: 216
Joined: Mon Apr 29, 2013 12:12 pm

Re: Saturday October 5 Pointspread Games List

Post by ChinMusic » Sat Oct 05, 2013 2:34 pm

dearnasty wrote:even without the adjustment for the push wouldnt you guys think all of those tickets are still edges?
Oh, of course, no question. But it's still important to be realistic about what the actual edge is, when you are making bankroll decisions.

Post Reply